Get you up to speed: Russia could test Nato in weeks, US intelligence warns | News World
In late July, a Russian cruise missile landed in Poland, creating a crater 33 feet wide near the village of Tarnawa-Kolonia. Polish authorities reported the discovery of debris at the site, and Prime Minister Donald Tusk confirmed there was no immediate danger as the missile fell in an uninhabited area.
Polish authorities are investigating a recent incident involving a Russian cruise missile that left a 33-foot crater in unexploded territory and scattered debris near Tarnawa-Kolonia. Reports indicate that officials, including Lithuania’s defence minister, are concerned about potential provocations from Russia aimed at NATO nations this autumn.
US intelligence warns of a potential Russian provocation against NATO nations this autumn, with Lithuania’s defence minister indicating that Poland and the Baltic region could be targeted for a new escalation. In response, Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated there was no immediate danger following a recent incident where a Russian missile landed in Polish territory, while a retired British Army general suggested the UK has less than two years to prepare for potential conflict with Russia.
What remains unclear — It is uncertain how NATO will respond to any potential provocation from Russia this autumn.
US intelligence warns Russia may provoke NATO in coming weeks

A new intelligence report suggests an attack could come soon (Picture: Getty)
Vladimir Putin could soon orchestrate a provocation of NATO as early as this autumn, in a bid to get a minor ‘victory’ as troops fail in Ukraine.
US intelligence reports have raised new concerns that Russia could provoke a NATO nation with an attack this fall, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Officials initially believed an attack wouldn’t happen because Russia is preoccupied with its war in Ukraine, but Putin isn’t happy with how the war is going.
Lithuania’s defence minister echoed these concerns, saying: ‘The Kremlin, Putin, needs a new escalation, some kind of new victory, and in this case the Baltic region and Poland are the closest targets.’
Just days ago, a drone loaded with explosives was found near a Ukrainian cargo plane in Germany.

Warnings about a potential attack on NATO soil have been shared for years (Picture: AFP)
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In late July, a Russian cruise missile left a crater 33 feet wide in Nato territory when it landed in Poland.
The landing site was discovered by Polish authorities alongside scattered debris after reports of an explosion near the south-east village of Tarnawa-Kolonia.
Fighter jets were scrambled, but Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk said there was no immediate danger as the missile fell in an uninhabited area.
And in late 2025, a report from German Intelligence warned of a potential ‘test attack’ against NATO from Russian forces.
The German Federal Intelligence Service cited preparation from Russia’s government for a ‘large-scale war’ against NATO as tensions with the West reach a boiling point.
A retired British Army general also warned the UK might have less than two years to prepare for a war with Russia.
General Sir Richard Shirreff thinks Russian tanks will ‘roll across the border into Estonia and Latvia’.
Writing for MailOnline, he said: ‘Within four hours they are approaching the Estonian capital of Tallinn. The British-led Enhanced Forward Battle Group in Estonia puts up brief resistance but takes heavy losses before being overwhelmed and forced to withdraw.’
Russia could fire its missiles at RAF bases in England and other targets in Western European countries, which launch retaliatory strikes on Russian energy and military infrastructure while sending reinforcements to the Baltic states.
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