Is Trump Pushing to End the Iran War Out of Desperation?
Trump’s War Claims
Donald Trump stated the Iran war could be over “very soon,” boasting of battlefield successes and 5,000 targets hit, despite rising tensions and market reactions.
US crude prices fell 4% today, reacting to Trump’s optimistic projections of the Iran war’s end amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Trump warned Iran will face severe consequences if it disrupts oil flow in the Strait of Hormuz, emphasizing America’s resolve to retaliate strongly.
Briefing summary
President Donald Trump suggested the Iran war could conclude “very soon,” despite previous warnings that it might last four to six weeks. He claimed military objectives are “pretty well complete.”
In response to a report on a deadly strike, Trump deflected blame, stating many nations utilize Tomahawk missiles. He emphasized that the US would respond decisively to any disruptions in oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard of Iran warned that it would stop oil exports from the region if US strikes persist, underscoring the tension affecting global oil prices amid ongoing conflict.
Full reading: Iran war: Is Trump trying to end it because he’s over a barrel? | US News
Words are cheap, but the price of oil is brutally honest.
Donald Trump’s claim that the war could be over “soon” will grab headlines.
Iran war: Follow live updates
But traders don’t trade on soundbites. They trade on risk.
That explains the sudden urgency from the commander-in-chief.
Ten days ago, he warned that the war could last four to six weeks.
Now, he’s boasting that it could be over “very soon.”
“Not this week,” he told an audience in Florida, but objectives are “pretty well complete”.
He listed battlefield successes – boasting 5,000 targets had been hit.
The president said he would “live with” the outcome of a report on a strike on a school.
But he tried to pin the blame for the attack, which claimed dozens of lives, elsewhere.
Trump said many countries, including Iran, use Tomahawks, a “generic” weapon.
The UK, Australia, the Netherlands, and Japan are the only other countries with Tomahawks.
Unless he’s suggesting one of them carried out the strike, he has effectively implicated the US.
Read more: Evidence challenges Trump’s claim
Trump’s ‘epic’ problem
Nevertheless, he appears poised to declare victory and find an off-ramp.
But his newfound optimism lands in a space where politics and markets collide.
US crude surging to $119 per barrel, then dropping a record 4% on talk of an ending.
It’s a problem for Trump that Iran had already acknowledged by mocking the military codename: “Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Mistake,” the country’s foreign minister posted, alongside a graphic of oil prices.
Read more from US News:
Inside the frontline ghost town
Erdogan’s clear message on Iran war
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard says it will “determine the end of the war”.
In a statement, it said Tehran would not allow the export of “one litre of oil” from the region if US and Israel attacks continue.
Trump posted on Truth Social: “If Iran does anything that stops the flow of oil within the Strait of Hormuz, they will be hit by the United States of America TWENTY TIMES HARDER than they have been hit thus far.”
For a trader sitting in London, Houston or Singapore, the question is not what Trump says but what happens on the ground.
In times of conflict, the price of a barrel speaks louder, and more truthfully, than a presidential promise of peace.
Great article! This really puts things into perspective. I appreciate the thorough research and balanced viewpoint.
Interesting read, though I think there are some points that could have been explored further. Would love to see a follow-up on this topic.
Thanks for sharing this! I had no idea about some of these details. Definitely bookmarking this for future reference.
Well written and informative. The examples provided really help illustrate the main points effectively.
This is exactly what I was looking for! Clear, concise, and very helpful. Keep up the excellent work!